An expert panel chaired by Cambridge public policy professor, Diane Coyle, has today unveiled the results of an independent prosperity review on the current state and future of Greater Manchester’s economy.
The review finds that the city-region has “world-class strengths” but real work is still needed to reduce social disparities, boost wages and improve productivity.
The resulting report produced by the independent panel, which includes head of Bloomberg Economics, Stephanie Flanders, highlights Greater Manchester’s strengths in health innovation and world-leading advanced materials such as Graphene. It also emphasises the city-region’s strengths in manufacturing, digital and creative industries, and professional services.
Alongside the positive findings, however, the review report stresses that there are clear challenges for the city-region’s leaders: it concludes that more needs to be done to reduce social inequality, drive up wage growth, and boost productivity – particularly in sectors such as retail and social care where there is often high employment but low pay and low productivity.
The report will be used to drive Greater Manchester’s economy forward and underpin the ambitious Local Industrial Strategy being developed jointly by Greater Manchester and central government.
Mayor of Greater Manchester Andy Burnham said:
“This review sets out just what we need to do to propel Greater Manchester’s economy forward and deliver prosperity to all who live and work here.
“While there is much to be optimistic about in this report, there are some stark messages that should come as no surprise: regional inequality still persists, and we’re still facing barriers beyond our control when it comes to growth.
"We are now working with the government to develop an ambitious Local Industrial Strategy which will respond to many of these issues and allow us to provide that extra strength to the UK’s economy. We can deliver the Northern Powerhouse we’ve been promised but we will need to continue to work closely with ministers to do so.”
The panel’s recommendations focus on three areas: the contribution of health to productivity; the importance of increasing skills and their utilisation by employers; and the role of innovation and infrastructure.
The report recommends that the Greater Manchester city-region:
Many of these recommendations align with projects the city-region has already made real progress on. Working Well, Greater Manchester’s programme to help people back in to employment, has been hailed as a national trailblazer, and devolution of the adult skills budget will allow the city-region to make further progress on improving work and skills training.
The Mayor’s Good Employment Charter is also set to help improve employment standards, while last month’s Transport Strategy 2040 Delivery Plan set out a clear path towards a more integrated transport network.
Greater Manchester’s lead for Economy, Sir Richard Leese, said: “We’ve got some world-class strengths that we absolutely must play to when developing our Local Industrial Strategy, but we must also recognise that over decades we have seen a rise in lower productivity sectors and lower skilled jobs.
“We need to take on board the recommendations in this report to increase productivity in these areas, and use the opportunity to reduce social disparities and boost wages.
“We are one of the UK’s leading digital city regions and we must take advantage of that. Through the growth of e-commerce, online shopping, and home deliveries, the retail sector – a major employer for Greater Manchester – will quickly find itself at the forefront of technology and innovation. We must capitalise on that and ensure the resulting rewards are passed onto our citizens.”
Business Secretary Greg Clark added: “The Government is placing more decisions and more power in the hands of local communities across the country as part of our modern Industrial Strategy, growing the industries and high skilled jobs.
“Today’s report is an important step in identifying the potential of Greater Manchester while building on its world-renowned strengths in areas like health innovation and advanced materials. The Government is working hand-in-hand with the Combined Authority to deliver an ambitious Local Industrial Strategy that ensures Greater Manchester and its businesses are at the forefront of growing industries like AI and clean growth.”
Commissioned by Greater Manchester Combined Authority to be independent of local and national government, the review has been delivered by a panel of six leading experts, with input from academics, think-tanks, businesses, the community and voluntary sector, social enterprise, and the public sector.
The panel’s chair, Prof. Diane Coyle, of the Bennett Institute for Public Policy, University of Cambridge, said: “The centralisation of policy-making in Whitehall has contributed to weaknesses in the UK’s economic performance. Productivity, and therefore living standards, in London and the South East of England are higher than every other part of the country.
“To increase the UK’s national level of productivity will require everywhere to improve: if productivity is only increasing in London, this will be no more sustainable than a plane flying on just one engine, either politically or in terms of economic growth.
“Productivity has an impact not just on the economy, but on people’s quality of life. Further devolution of powers is urgently needed to deliver sustained improvements in living standards for the people of Greater Manchester.”
Fellow review panellist, Senior Executive Editor for Economics & Head of Bloomberg Economics, Stephanie Flanders, said:
“Whitehall and Westminster may be preoccupied with Brexit, but with this report Greater Manchester is getting on with the challenge of building a more inclusive and dynamic local economy.
"Greater Manchester is not the only city in the UK to suffer from low productivity and poor skills, but its leadership has been consistently ahead of the curve in forensically analysing the economic and social roots of these problems in the context of the broader local economy.
"With the INER and now this follow-up review I think Greater Manchester has once again demonstrated the value of more place-oriented policy-making, especially in areas such as skills. Delivering better outcomes for people is not going to be easy but without a more grown-up relationship between central and local government I suspect it's downright impossible.”
Today’s report comes ten years on from the Manchester Independent Economic Review (MIER), which suggested Greater Manchester was “punching below its weight” when compared to similar international cities, and although the new research and evidence for this latest review shows that much has improved, the fundamental conclusion still stands.
Regional inequality persists and has widened since the financial crisis; productivity rates in the UK and its regions have stagnated or fallen further behind other regions and countries; and skills levels amongst both the young and old have stubbornly failed to improve.
Greater Manchester’s Local Industrial Strategy, when it is adopted, will need to address the low productivity and low skill areas of the city-region’s economy, to create good jobs around the whole of Greater Manchester, as well as boosting productivity in sectors at the frontier of innovation.
Article Published: 08/02/2019 08:44 AM